Evaluation of Serum Biomarkers in Predicting the Severity of Community-Acquired Pneumonia: A Prospective Cross-Sectional Observational Study.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51168/xpk6xz60Keywords:
Community-acquired pneumonia, Procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, Lactate, Biomarkers, Severity predictionAbstract
Background:
Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Early identification of severe cases is essential for timely intervention and improved outcomes. Serum biomarkers such as C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and serum lactate have emerged as valuable tools for assessing disease severity.
Aim:
To evaluate the role of serum biomarkers in predicting the severity of community-acquired pneumonia and their correlation with established clinical severity scores.
Methods:
A prospective observational study was conducted among 100 patients diagnosed with CAP admitted to Madhubani Medical College and Hospital, Madhubani, between April 2025 and January 2026. Serum CRP, procalcitonin, NLR, and lactate levels were measured at admission. Severity was assessed using CURB-65 and Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI) scores. Biomarker levels were compared between severe and non-severe CAP groups.
Results:
Among 100 patients, 62% were males and 38% females. Thirty-five patients had severe CAP. Mean CRP, PCT, NLR, and lactate levels were significantly higher in severe CAP compared to non-severe CAP (p<0.001). Procalcitonin demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy for severe disease (AUC=0.89), followed by lactate (AUC=0.86), CRP (AUC=0.83), and NLR (AUC=0.80).
Conclusion:
Serum biomarkers, particularly procalcitonin and lactate, are valuable predictors of CAP severity and correlate strongly with clinical severity scores. Their incorporation into routine assessment may facilitate early risk stratification and optimize patient management.
Recommendation:
Routine assessment of procalcitonin and serum lactate, alongside conventional severity scores, is recommended for early risk stratification and identification of patients requiring intensive monitoring and aggressive management.
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Copyright (c) 2026 Dr. Ashutosh Kumar, Dr. Mukesh Kumar, Dr. Ajay Kumar Lal Das

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